The UFC is on this Saturday Night December 29th and they have a big card for the new years event. UFC 232 will see John Jones fight Alexander Gustafsson for the vecant Light Heavyweight Title. Gustafsson gave Jones his toughest fight 5 years ago and Jones has been out for a long time, lets see what happens in this one. In the co-main event Amanda Nunes will challange Cris Cyborg for the Women’s Featherweight Title. Both Brazilians and both at the top of there game, it should be an awesome fight. This one will kick off this Saturday from the The Forum in Inglewood, California, United States and its not one to miss, the card is stacked with good fights. The fight card in full is below along with the latest UFC Betting Odds and Fight Predictions.
Yes, there are a number of other UFC bet options available besides predicting the winner in most fights, including Method of Victory, Round Betting, Total Rounds, Round Groups betting, when will the fight end and sometimes other UFC. UFC 232 Preliminary Card Fights (UFC Fight Pass) The following UFC 232 preliminary fights will begin at 6:30 PM ET and air on UFC Fight Pass. The UFC betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline: Brian Kelleher. UFC February 27, 2021 Max Holloway Hints at Future Super-Fight With Conor McGregor. Holloway and McGregor rivalry set to be reignited. UFC lining-up mouth-watering super-fight. Potential rematch eight years in the making.
UFC 232 Jones vs Gustafsson Fight Card
UFC 232 Main Card (PPV 10pm ET / BT Sports 3am BST)
Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson (UFC Light Heavyweight Title)
Cristiane Justino vs. Amanda Nunes (UFC Women’s Fetaherweight Title)
Carlos Condit vs. Mike Chiesa
Ilir Latifi vs. Corey Anderson
Chad Mendes vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Preliminary Fight Card (Fox Sports 1 8pm ET / BT Sports 1am BST)
Andrei Arlovski vs. Walt Harris
Megan Anderson vs. Cat Zingano
Petr Yan vs. Douglas Andrade
BJ Penn vs. Ryan Hall
Early Prelim Fights (UFC Fight Pass 6:00pm ET / BT Sports 11:00pm BST)
Nathaniel Wood vs. Andre Ewell
Uriah Hall vs. Bevon Lewis
Curtis Millender vs. Siyar Bahadurzada
Brian Kelleher vs. Montel Jackson
UFC 232 Betting Odds
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UFC 232 – Betting Predictions
UFC 232 Jones vs. Gustafsson – Cyborg vs Nunes – Kamikaze Scottie
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UFC 232 is the final event of the year for the Ultimate Fighting Championship promotion. The event was scheduled to take place in Las Vegas but had to be moved to Inglewood, California, due to issues involving one of Jon Jones’ drug tests.
Jones is scheduled to fight Alexander Gustafsson in the main event rematch for the UFC light heavyweight championship belt.
In the co-main event of the night, Cris “Cyborg” Justino takes on Amanda Nunes for the UFC featherweight title and to be called the best female fighter on the planet. Both women are champions and this is the best women’s fight in MMA today.
Also on the card are notable fighters like Andrei Arlovski, Chad Mendes, Carlos Condit, and the legendary B.J. Penn.
In total, UFC 232 is scheduled to have 13 fights on the night. Two of those fights will be for championship belts and two of the scheduled bouts will be women’s fights. Without further delay, let’s step inside the betting octagon and examine the UFC betting odds, look for any MMA betting value, and make some UFC 232 predictions.
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Vegas Odds Ufc 252
UFC 232 Preliminary Card Fights (UFC Fight Pass)
The following UFC 232 preliminary fights will begin at 6:30 PM ET and air on UFC Fight Pass. The UFC betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
Brian Kelleher (+135) vs Montel Jackson (-155)
Brian Kelleher (19-9) comes into this matchup having won 2 of his last 3 fights and going 3-2 inside the octagon. “Boom” last fought in May and lost by KO late in the 3rd round to John Lineker. That loss dropped Kelleher down a peg or two and prevented him from getting a more notable bantamweight fight.
Montel Jackson (6-1) was undefeated until he suffered the first loss of his career in August via Unanimous Decision to Ricky Simon. In June, Jackson had earned a contract after defeating Rico DiSciullo on the DWTNCS. Jackson looks to get his first career win under the UFC banner.
This fight was originally scheduled for UFC 230. Unfortunately, it was called off on the day of the event due to medical issues surrounding Kelleher.
Two months ago, I had picked Brian to win and I’m sticking with that pick. I like his experience inside the octagon and I think he can get inside Jackson’s reach advantage to score the victory. 8 of his 19 wins have come via submission and I’m picking Boom to win this fight via submission.
Curtis Millender (-160) vs Siyar Bahadurzada (+140)
Curtis Millender(16-3) has won 8 straight fights including going 2-0 inside the octagon. He debuted against Thiago Alves in February and won via KO courtesy of a nasty knee shot. He followed up that debut with a solid performance against Griffin in July and easily won via Unanimous Decision. Millender has the height and reach advantage, which could come into play as he’s won via TKO/KO in 6 of his 16 victories.
Siyar Bahadurzada (24-6-1) has won 3 straight fights since he returned to the UFC in March 2016, after 2 ½ years away from the sport due to injuries. He’s demonstrated a nice balance of striking and submission skills over the last 3 fights including 2 KO/TKOs and 1 submission win. Siyar has a 54% KO/TKO rate in his 24 victories and is often overlooked by pundits, fans and MMA oddsmakers alike. With that said, I believe Millender is going to win.
Millender will control the fight with his striking range or his takedowns. If he does get Siyar to the mat on a consistent basis then he will cruise to a victory. Millender has superior wrestling skills and they should come in handy. The only chance Siyar has is by landing a KO punch from out of nowhere, and I don’t see that happening. Millender wins via Unanimous Decision, which will be the 11th of his career.
Uriah Hall (-110) vs Bevon Lewis (-110)
Uriah Hall (13-9) has been a disappointment ever since his shocking TKO of Gegard Mousasi in September 2015. Hall followed up that stunning victory with three straight losses including a rematch against Mousasi in 2016, which Gegard won via TKO in the 1st round.
Hall is 1-4 in his last 5 fights and 6-7 inside the octagon. Uriah last fought in July and lost via TKO in the 2nd round against Paulo Costa.
Bevon Lewis (6-0) earned this fight after winning on DWTNCS in July, which was his second opportunity on the show as he also won in August 2017. Lewis has flashed signs of being a well-rounded fighter with striking power, endurance and a solid defense. He loves the clinch and could do damage against Hall.
Uriah has all of the tools to be a much better fighter but seems to fall short when you expect him to win. Even more maddening, when you pick him to lose, he seems to find a way to win.
Thankfully online betting sites have put this fight’s odds at -110 apiece. In other words, they couldn’t figure out who to make the favorite either. Because Hall frustrates me as much as any other fighter, I’m picking the younger, taller, and hungrier Lewis to win this fight.
Andre Ewell (-110) vs Nathaniel Wood (-110)
Andre Ewell (14-4) is on a 5 fight win streak, which includes winning his UFC debut in September via Spilt Decision over Renan Barao. It was a fantastic win for Ewell as he beat the former champ in his homeland of Brazil.
Ewell is stepping in for Tom Duquesnoy who was originally scheduled to take on Wood but had to withdraw from the fight due to an injury. Ewell has had 6 weeks to prepare for this bout.
Nathaniel Wood (14-3) has won 6 straight fights and also won his UFC debut earlier this year. Wood tapped out Johnny Eduardo via brabo choke in the 2nd round of their fight this past June. Don’t be fooled by Wood’s 3 submission wins as “The Prospect” has won most of his fights via KO/TKO.
This is the second fight on the preliminary card that online MMA betting sites are having a hard time determining who will win. Both fighters are listed at -110 odds. With that said, I’m leaning toward Ewell in this fight. He might be older, but Ewell has a significant height and reach advantage.
Wood is susceptible to being hit and Ewell will capitalize on that. I like Andre’s experience and physical advantages over Wood in this bout. I’m going with Ewell to win via TKO in the latter portion of this fight.
UFC 232 Preliminary Card Fights (Fox Sports 1)
The following fights will air on Fox Sports 1 and begin at 8 PM ET. The UFC 232 betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
B.J. Penn (+400) vs Ryan Hall (-515)
Personally, I hate seeing legends of this sport continue to fight well beyond their prime and personal safety. That’s exactly what the 40-year-old B.J. Penn (16-12-2) is doing here. Penn has lost 5 straight fights over a span of 7 years.
He last fought in June 2017, and lost via Majority Decision to Dennis Siver. Prior to that, he was crushed two fights in a row by Yair Rodriguez and Frankie Edgar. Those losses were hard to watch as Penn took a beating.
Ryan Hall (6-1) has won 6 straight fights including going 2-0 inside the octagon. However, he hasn’t fought in two years. At age 33, it’s hard to believe that Hall will be anything more than a prelim fighter for the UFC. He’s better served fighting in regional MMA promotions.
Hall offers no threat in the stand-up department, but he does have solid ground skills.
This fight is going to be one where longtime B.J. Penn fans hold their collective breath as they watch their warrior hero embark on another battle. Fortunately, this fight should be a mat contest as both men are highly proficient in Jiu-Jitsu. With that said, it’s hard to imagine that Penn is in good enough shape to go the full distance and out-grapple the younger Hall.
The smart bet is to take Hall in this fight. However, if anyone wants a risky MMA wager then take a flyer on Penn and his high paying +400 odds.
Douglas Silva de Andrade (+265) vs Petr Yan (-315)
Douglas Silva de Andrade (25-2, 1 NC) has gone 3-2 inside the octagon and last fought in February. He won that fight via Unanimous Decision over Marlon Vera. “D’Silva” has 19 KO/TKO victories, which is a 76% rate. He packs a lot of power in his punches and can definitely pull off an upset at UFC 232 if Yan isn’t careful.
Petr Yan (10-1) has won 5 straight fights including going 2-0 inside the octagon. He is the former ACB bantamweight champ and is one of brightest prospects in the division at just 25-years old. Yan last fought in September and scored a solid Unanimous Decision win over Jin Soo Son, which earned the “fight of the Night” honors.
Douglas clearly has the experience advantage and a reach advantage, but I believe he’s pretty much reached his ceiling. Yan appears to be on a great trajectory up the division’s ranks and should be able to score the win in this bout. I see this fight staying upright until one of the fighters gets knocked down.
Vegas Odds Ufc 232 Payouts
Yan will outwork and outpoint Douglas to get the win. However, D’Silva does have the KO power to end this fight with one punch. That’s always a dangerous possibility when participating in a striking contest.
Cat Zingano (-138) vs Megan Anderson(+118)
Cat Zingano (10-3) broke a 3 fight losing streak by winning in July via Unanimous Decision over Marion Reneau. It was a little more than 4 years ago when Zingano defeated Amanda Nunes and was on her way to the top of the women’s food chain.
Unfortunately, she lost to Rousey and then two more times over a three-year span. Cat looked rejuvenated and motivated in her July win.
Megan Anderson (8-3) has gone 4-1 in her last 5 pro fights but did lose her UFC debut in June via Unanimous Decision to Holly Holm. Anderson is a former Invicta featherweight champ, but appears out-matched against Zingano who’s better on the ground than Holm.
I think Zingano makes it 2 wins in a row and turns her career around with a TKO victory over Anderson. 2019 could be a big year for Cat if she wins this fight as I expect her too. I like her -138 odds as I think there’s value here.
Andrei Arlovski(+148) vs Walt Harris (-173)
Andrei Arlovski (27-17, 1 NC) is in the same boat as B.J. Penn, although he has fought more frequently. Unfortunately, the consistent fighting has resulted in consistent losses.
Andrei has gone 2-7 in his last 9 fights stemming back to January 2016. He’s been thoroughly crushed and significantly outpointed in that span. Arlovski hasn’t looked like a legitimate contender since his wins over Mir and Browne in 2015.
Walt Harris (11-7) has had an up and down career in the UFC, going 5-6 across two tours with the company. Harris did win in his last fight which was back in June at UFC Fight Night 131, which broke a two fight losing streak. Harris has won all 11 of his fights via KO/TKO and he will most likely get another one in this bout.
Arlovski has suffered 10 of his 17 defeats via KO/TKO and has won 17 via the same manner. That’s 27 total fights finishing via KO/TKO. Harris has 11 wins and 2 losses via KO/TKO out of 19 total fights. That’s a combined 40 career fights between these two men that have ended via KO/TKO.
Sadly, I don’t see this fight ending any other way than the once impressive heavyweight Andrei Arlovski losing via KO/TKO once again.
UFC 232 Main Card Fights
The following UFC fights will air on PPV and begin at 10 PM ET. The MMA betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
Chad Mendes (-148) vs Alexander Volkanovski (+128)
Chad Mendes (18-4) was at one point one of the top fighters at 145 pounds and under. Unfortunately, losses to McGregor and Edgar in 2015, then two years of suspensions for PED violations, and Mendes basically disappeared from relevancy. He returned in July and TKO’d his opponent in under 3 minutes of the fight and looked great.
Now, he’s going up against a fantastic prospect that will certainly prove whether Mendes is the same elite caliber fighter he used to be.
Alexander Volkanovski (18-1) has won 15 straight fights including going 5-0 in the UFC. Alexander has worked his way up the featherweight food chain and could be in line for a title shot or a #1 contender’s fight if he can defeat Mendes. “The Great” has power in his strikes and is also very proficient on the ground. In fact, some pundits feel that these two fighters are very similar.
With that said, we can expect some fireworks in this fight. Don’t be surprised if this bout comes away as the “Fight of the Night” based on the way both men do battle. If Mendes can win this fight, he will be right back in line for a rematch against Frankie Edgar or a credible contender for Max Holloway based on his overall resume.
I would prefer a fight against Edgar before taking on Holloway. But, I digress. At UFC 232, I believe we see Mendes reclaim his spot in the featherweight division as he puts others on notice.
Maybe it’s sentimental, or maybe it’s the matchup, but I like Mendes to come away with the victory here via TKO in the 3rd round.
Ilir Latifi (-143) vs Corey Anderson (+123)
Ilir Latifi (14-5) is coming into this bout on a two-fight win streak, which boosts his overall UFC record to 7-3. “The Sledgehammer” has one loss in the last three years and that came to Ryan Bader in 2016. His other two losses were to Jan Blachowicz and Gegard Mousasi.
It’s hard to look down on a fighter just because he loses to Mousasi and Bader. With that said, I believe Latifi has grown as a fighter and could be in line for a title shot with a win at UFC 232, or at least a #1 contender’s fight.
Corey Anderson (11-4) has also won two fights in a row but went 1-3 in the 4 fights prior. Anderson is 8-4 inside the Octagon with his most notable loss coming in 2016, to Rua. 7 of his 11 wins have come via decision, but I think that’s a tall task for this fight.
Ilir is nicknamed “the sledgehammer” for a reason and could end this fight early if he catches Anderson, who does have 3 losses via KO/TKO.
Anderson is still a few fights away from a title shot in my opinion. He doesn’t quite have the resume as Latifi, but would definitely take a big step up in the light heavyweight division if he wins this fight.
With that said, I really like Latifi and his -143 odds for this fight. Latifi looks like he could be a WWE superstar. He tapped out Ovince St. Preux in less than 4 minutes of their fight in February, while Anderson lost to OSP 13 months ago via KO.
I’m taking The Sledgehammer to win this fight via TKO.
Carlos Condit (+145) vs Michael Chiesa (-170)
There’s no other fight on the card where two combatants need a win more than this one. Once upon a time, Carlos Condit (30-12) was one of the baddest men in all of MMA.
Condit has fought a list of some of the most recognizable names in the history of the sport like GSP. He’s also battled notable fighters like Lawler, Maia, Woodley, Alves, Hendricks and Nick Diaz.
With that said, ever since his win over Thiago Alves in May 2015, Condit’s career has plummeted. In fact, he’s on the verge of being released or forced to retire if he loses at UFC 232. Currently, Condit has lost 4 straight fights. Can you name any fighter that has lost 5 straight fights and didn’t get fired by the UFC? I sure can’t.
Michael Chiesa (14-4) has lost two straight fights and has fallen out of the title contention in the division. He was once a top 10 competitor on the verge of stardom before these two losses and a failure to make weight. “Maverick” is a nasty fighter on the ground with 10 submission wins out of 14 career victories.
As much as I truly enjoyed watching Condit from 2010 to 2015, I believe his time is up in the UFC. Maia dominated Condit on the ground, Magny beat him up, and Oliveira turned it up to a level that Condit can’t match anymore.
I would love to see “The Natural Born Killer” give us a throwback performance, but Chiesa isn’t the man for that opportunity. I’m taking Chiesa via submission in the 2nd round.
Cris Justino (-232) vs Amanda Nunes (+197)
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Vegas Odds Ufc 232 244
I’m more excited for this fight than any other fight on the card. I’ve seen “Cris Cyborg” (20-1, 1 NC) fight in person and I was mesmerized by her in-cage tenacity and overall presence. I think she’s the baddest woman on the planet, not WWE’s Ronda Rousey.
Other than a NC in 2011, Cyborg has won 20 straight fights and appears to be unstoppable when truly motivated. 17 of those 20 wins have come via KO/TKO. Over the last 5 ½ years, she’s only gone the distance 1 time and that was one year ago when she fought Holly Holm.
Amanda Nunes (16-4) would be the top woman fighter in the world if it weren’t for Cyborg. Amanda has 7 straight fights including some wins against notable opponents like Rousey, Tate, and Valentina Shevchenko who just became the UFC women’s flyweight champion.
According to Sporting News, Nunes believes that a win over Cyborg will cement her legacy as the best women’s fighter of all-time:
“There’s no question about it that I will become the greatest women’s fighter of all time when I beat Cyborg. I’ll be the first woman to have two belts at the same time. When I always did something growing up, I always wanted to be the best. I played soccer my whole life — I wanted to be the best soccer player. Things changed and then I switched to MMA. I had the goal of wanting to be the best fighter. I would have beaten Ronda, Miesha, (flyweight champion) Valentina (Shevchenko) and now Cyborg coming up on Saturday. I was always imagining it, but I always think like that and now it’s going to come true.”
It’s true, Nunes would be the first woman to ever hold two belts at the same time. Unfortunately, if Cyborg wins she won’t get both belts since this fight is only for her featherweight title. Even so, a win by Cyborg will cement her as the best woman’s fighter in the world and of all-time. There’s never been a fighter like her in the history of women’s MMA.
As for Nunes, a win over Cyborg would make her stock rise to unknown heights. She could become a megastar by defeating the “unbeatable” Cyborg. Or she could lose, but still be the bantamweight champion. The reward is worth far more than the risk. Other than getting beat up badly, this really is a win-win for Amanda.
With that said, until someone beats Cyborg, I can’t pick against her. Justino is a powerful force unlike anything in the world of women’s MMA past or present. And, I find it hard to believe there will ever be another Cyborg in women’s MMA. Now, the only question is whether or not this fight will go the distance.
With the style of these two fighters, I just don’t see a full 5 round fight. Someone is going to get TKO’d within the allotted 5 rounds. And, that someone will be Nunes. I’m rolling with the Cyborg to win this fight and become the greatest of all-time.
Jon Jones (-300) vs Alexander Gustafsson (+250)
The main event of the night will be for the UFC light heavyweight title, and it’s a rematch between two fighters eagerly looking to capture the gold.
Alexander Gustafsson (18-4) is on a two-fight win streak and looking to get revenge against Jones who defeated him via Unanimous Decision over 5 years ago. Surprisingly, Alexander has only fought 5 times since he lost to Jones. During that span, he’s gone 3-2 and did lose to Cormier by Split Decision.
So, he’s hung in for the full 10 rounds in two combined fights against the division’s top fighters: Cormier and Jones. Additionally, he also beat Glover Teixeira who’s also considered a top 5 light heavyweight.
Jon Jones (22-1, 1 NC) is the most frustrating fighter of all-time. If he didn’t get into so much trouble outside of the cage, Jones would be the greatest fighter in the history of the UFC. He’s got more talent than just about any fighter I’ve ever seen. Unfortunately, he doesn’t always make good decisions and ends up in trouble with the law or a state’s athletic commission.
With that said, Jones is still one of the best fighters in the sport. A convincing win over Gustafsson will remind everyone just how great he is.
The one light heavyweight fight that everyone is truly interested in is Jones vs Cormier 3. If Jones wins his UFC 232 fight and the belt, we can only hope that it carries him one step closer to a trilogy fight with Daniel Cormier.
I have no doubt in my mind that Jones will win this fight. I believe he’s a level better than Alexander and he’s going to show it on Saturday. There is a concern over Jones’ conditioning, but a fighter of this caliber should theoretically be prepared for any fight scenario. I’m taking Jones to win via TKO in the 5th round.
UFC 232 Betting Value
Based on their fight history and current matchups, I believe the following UFC 232 fighters offer the best betting value:
- Brian Kelleher (+135) has the experience advantage over his opponent Montel Jackson. I like Kelleher’s fighting style and I believe he has a great shot at winning this contest.
- J. Penn (+400) offers a little value on this event because of his opponent. Hall (-515) is not a striker and will look to win this fight on the mat, which plays right into Penn’s strengths. If somehow B.J. has discovered the fountain of youth, he could pull off a glorious upset. He could also suffer another crushing loss. This is the riskiest bet of the night. If you are a daredevil with MMA betting then this is right up your alley.
- Cat Zingano (-138) is a much better fighter than her opponent Anderson in my opinion. I think the close betting odds are giving too much credit to Anderson who has faced lesser opponents than Cat. I see Zingano scoring the TKO via ground and pound.
UFC 232 Final Thoughts
The entire main card of UFC 232 should be entertaining and I am excited about it. I want to see how good Mendes looks against a top opponent. I would also love to see Condit go old-school and bring the chaos, but we’re probably witnessing his last fight in the UFC.
Additionally, a Latifi win could put him in line for a title fight. Cyborg vs Nunes has me fired up and the main event should showcase the return of the most talented fighter in the UFC – Jon “Bones” Jones.
We also get some emotional moments with Arlovski and the legendary B.J. Penn. This is a great card to close out the 2018 year and I’ve got my popcorn ready.
UFC 232 Betting Recap
- Brian Kelleher (+135)
- Curtis Millender (-160)
- Bevon Lewis (-110)
- Andre Ewell (-110)
- Ryan Hall (-515)
- Petr Yan (-315)
- Cat Zingano (-138)
- Walt Harris (-173)
- Chad Mendes (-148)
- Ilir Latifi (-143)
- Michael Chiesa (-170)
- Cris Justino (-232)
- Jon Jones (-300)